Summers Predicts Job Growth by Spring

“Most professional forecasters are looking for a return to job growth by the spring,” he said in an appearance on “ABC’s “This Week with George Stephanopoulos.”
Mr. Summers, director of the White House’s National Economic Council, made his forecast one day before President Obama is scheduled to meet with banking executives at the White House in an effort to ratchet up lending to consumers and small businesses, to make it easier for homeowners to obtain mortgages and spur businesses to generate jobs.
Mr. Summers, Secretary of the Treasury at the end of President Clinton’s administration, said that “it doesn’t cost anything to encourage banks to expand the flow of credit to small businesses.” He said the president will remind them that given what the federal government did to bail out banks when they were in trouble, they have an obligation “to enhance lending across the country.”
“We were there for them and the banks need to do everything they can” to be sure they help American business and generate jobs, he said.
The nation’s unemployment rate stabilized in November, with only 11,000 more people losing jobs and the rate itself edging down to 10.0 percent from its yearlong peak the previous month. The ranks of the employed stood at 138.5 million in November and the number of unemployed still seeking jobs stood at 15.4 million. When the recession began in December 2007, 7.5 million Americans were unemployed and the jobless rate stood at 4.9 percent.
Mr. Summers said flatly that “everyone agrees the recession is over.” But at least one dissenter was Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, the Republican minority leader, who said on CBS’s “Face the Nation” that, given a 10 percent national unemployment rate and 11 percent in Kentucky, “I don’t think it’s over.”
“I hope he’s right that we’re coming out of an economic slowdown, but unemployment is the key,” he added.
Mr. Summers, though, sounded a more upbeat tone.
“We were losing 700,000 jobs a month when President Bush turned the economy over to President Obama,” he said. But looking at the latest employment statistics, he said, by spring, “growth will be starting to turn positive.”
Asked what the Obama administration would be doing to create jobs, Mr. Summers said, “Every bill is going to be a jobs bill.” The president plans to spend $50 billion on repairing the nation’s infrastructure, and health care reform — the centerpiece of the Obama domestic agenda — too would help he economy by paring away the nation’s deficit, which he described as an $8 trillion shortfall over 10 years that “the Obama administration inherited.”
By JOSEPH BERGER
Published: December 13, 2009 , New York Times